A lot of things have happened in the week since I last posted. The Olympics started, an event that fully deserves its own post. That will have to come later.
More importantly, Russia invaded Georgia, the former Soviet republic (not the state).
The Russians weren't unprovoked. Georgia moved into South Ossetia to reclaim the breakaway province after separatists shelled Georgian forces, and Russia responded to protect the people they consider Russian citizens.
After that, Pandora's Box opened wide, and what came out was a Russian display of force nobody saw coming. The vastly superior Russian army rolled over the Georgians, not only taking back the two breakaway regions (Abkhazia is the other) but also driving deep into Georgia proper.
The rest of the world stood by and watched as a pro-NATO, pro-U.S. government got its ass kicked. That is not good.
But what could be done? Did anyone want to open a full shooting war with Russia? Hell no.
Now, you can believe what you want about protecting Russian citizens, but South Ossetia and Abkhazia are both home to major oil pipelines and other petroleum infrastructure.
Russia's invasion of Georgia served three purposes:
The first was to further consolidate its stranglehold on the oil infrastructure in the Caucasus region, which it uses to supply Europe with a large portion of its petroleum.
The second was to show the other former Soviet republics the penalty for close dealings with NATO and the U.S.
The third was to show the world that Russia means business, and unless you're going to stop them, they're going to do whatever it is they want.
Well, okay then.
When the war started, my first thought was "Is this what it looked like to the rest of the world when we invaded Iraq?" I don't know the answer to that.
Again, say what you like about combating terrorism, but by now we all know that the invasion of Iraq had at least something to do with oil.
So now we have two wars, one short (theirs) and one much longer (ours), that are about oil.
Russia has openly invaded an ally of the U.S. Conversely, the U.S. has effectively surrounded and continuously threatened a Russian ally, Iran.
Remember that line about being doomed to repeat history?
Many, if not all, of the world's largest wars are preceded by tiny ones. World War II started with Germany gobbling up surrounding countries to protect "German citizens" in those areas. World War I started because of a little revolutionary flare up in the Balkans. Stop me when this starts getting familiar.
Or how about this one: The Punic Wars. They were the largest war in history, really three little wars, between Carthage and Rome. They were the western world's two greatest superpowers, and the wars ranged from 264 B.C. to 146 B.C.
They started because both the Carthaginian Empire and the Roman Republic involved themselves on opposite sides of petty land disputes between tribes in Sicily, a strategic concern for both superpowers.
The world's energy crisis is not going away. Neither is Russia. Or China, for that matter. If they're willing to bulldoze half of their largest city just to throw a huge party, what else are they willing to do?
I'm not saying tomorrow, but this will get much bigger than we thought, and soon.